Jedixson Paez
SP/RP · R/R · age 22.7 · BOSDRAFT-EXCLUDEDRULE 5 PICKOCTOBER: SUB ONLY
OPTIONED
0+000
1+000 / 1+000
3
4 of 5
PRE-ARBITRATION / AUTO-RENEWAL
R5 return (CHW) Apr'26
0 / 1
none listed
Next 90 days, by the model
61%
12%
23%
4%
<1%
Pushing the cut risk around: age (22.66) lowers it, this season's WAR (-0.34) raises it, prior DFAs (1) raises it.
Context the model does not weigh: ZiPS projects 1.0 WAR, -0.3 WAR this season; 15 OF on the 40-man, of whom Isiah Kiner-Falefa is headed to free agency.
Trained on every 40-man roster snapshot since 2011 and what happened in the following 90 days; it sees roster status, options, service, history and last season's line, not this season's performance or the club's intentions. How well it does.
Is there a job for him next year?
BOS returns 15 IF on the 40-man once 1 free agent leaves; about 8 IF jobs survive a normal winter. By his own recent record he ranks 15th among the returners (-1.0 WAR against a bar of 0.6), which the calibrated model turns into 90% kept through the tender deadline. Ranked by ZiPS and Steamer instead, which credit his longer track record, he is 13th (0.5 WAR, bar 0.7), worth 94% kept on the same model.
| By recent record: returning IF | Proj. WAR |
|---|---|
| 1. Willson Contreras | 3.5 |
| 2. Caleb Durbin | 2.8 |
| 3. Nick Sogard | 1.7 |
| 4. Trevor Story | 1.7 |
| 5. Curtis Mead | 1.3 |
| 6. Romy Gonzalez | 1.1 |
| 7. Nathan Eaton | 1.0 |
| 8. Mickey Gasperlast job | 0.6 |
| 9. Masataka Yoshida | 0.6 |
| 10. Anthony Seigler | 0.5 |
| 11. Andruw Monasterio | -0.1 |
| 12. Tsung-Che Cheng | -0.2 |
| By ZiPS / Steamer: returning IF | Proj. WAR |
|---|---|
| 1. Caleb Durbin | 2.4 |
| 2. Trevor Story | 2.0 |
| 3. Willson Contreras | 1.7 |
| 4. Kristian Campbell | 0.9 |
| 5. Nathan Eaton | 0.8 |
| 6. Romy Gonzalez | 0.8 |
| 7. Mickey Gasper | 0.7 |
| 8. Curtis Meadlast job | 0.7 |
| 9. Andruw Monasterio | 0.7 |
| 10. Masataka Yoshida | 0.6 |
| 11. Triston Casas | 0.6 |
| 12. Nick Sogard | 0.6 |
Departing free agents are excluded; players on club, mutual or player options are counted as returning. The kept probability is calibrated on every September since 2012 using the recent-record projection; the ZiPS/Steamer reading uses the same model with a different ranking, so treat it as a second opinion rather than a calibrated number. Salary enters once arbitration projections publish in October.
October: Injury replacement only
Added to the 40-man on Sep 1, after the Sep 1 noon cutoff, so he is not automatically eligible. He was in the organization before the cutoff, so he can be approved as a replacement for an injured eligible player.
The post-season eligibility list is fixed at noon ET on September 1: everyone on the 40-man, the 60-day IL or the military list at that moment, who then stays there without interruption. Attachment 25 (Major League Rule 40)
What happens if the club…
- option him to the minorsBLOCKED
- A Rule 5 pick cannot be optioned; he must stay on the 26-man or be offered back.
- Rule 5 selected player
- designate him for assignment (or put him on outright waivers)
- The club has 7 days to trade him, pass him through outright waivers, or release him; he is paid at the major-league rate and keeps accruing service in the meantime. On outright waivers any club can claim him for $50,000, worst record first, and the claiming club takes his contract. If he clears, the club can outright him to the minors and he has no say; he stays under club control on a minor-league deal. He would then be Rule 5-eligible and would hold XX-D rights against any future outright.
- Designated for assignment: 7 days · Outright waivers · Article XX-D: the right to walk
- release him
- Release waivers cost a claiming club $1 but the claimant assumes the whole contract, so expensive players clear. The club owes the full unpaid balance of this season's salary, offset by whatever another club pays him this year. A released player is not post-season eligible for any club this year.
- Release waivers and termination pay · Which rate a split contract pays at release
- trade himBLOCKED
- Not now: players on major-league contracts cannot be traded after the Aug 3 deadline until the day after the World Series.
- Trade deadline · 10-and-5 rights · June 15 no-trade for free-agent signees
- renew him for next year
- Pre-arbitration: the club sets his 2027 salary near the minimum ($780,000 floor) and he has no leverage beyond a non-tender.
- Minimum salaries · Tender deadline
What the rules say about him
- Option years and the 20-day rule3 option years left entering 2026; only 13 option days this season (under 20, so none used).A season with fewer than 20 days on optional assignment does not count as an option year, and those days count as Major League service. 2022-2026 Basic Agreement, Article XIX(E) and XXI(B), p. 98 (the number itself is in Major League Rule 7(c))
- Five optional assignments per seasonOptioned 1 time this season that count toward the cap of 5: 4 left.A player can be optioned at most five times in a season; a sixth trip requires outright waivers. 2022-2026 Basic Agreement, Article XIX(E), p. 98 (the number itself is in Major League Rule 7(c))
- Draft-Excluded PlayerRule 5-eligible and selected to the 40-man on Sep 1: Draft-Excluded Player, cannot be optioned until 20 days before Opening Day 2027.A Rule 5-eligible player with under three years of service added to the 40-man after August 15 cannot be optioned until 20 days before Opening Day. 2022-2026 Basic Agreement, Article XVIII(B), p. 93 (the number itself is in Major League Rule 6)
- Rule 5 selected playerRule 5 pick (Dec 2025): must stay on the 26-man for 90 active days or be offered back to BOS for $50,000; cannot be optioned.A $100,000 pick is tendered a Major League contract on draft day and must stay on the 26-man for 90 active days (carrying into a second season) or be offered back for $50,000. 2022-2026 Basic Agreement, Attachment 44 and Article IX(D), p. 310 (the number itself is in Major League Rule 5)
- Option years and the 20-day ruleCurrently optioned with 13 days this season: 7 more and a 2026 option year is used.A season with fewer than 20 days on optional assignment does not count as an option year, and those days count as Major League service. 2022-2026 Basic Agreement, Article XIX(E) and XXI(B), p. 98 (the number itself is in Major League Rule 7(c))
- Post-season roster eligibilityAdded to the 40-man on Sep 1, after the Sep 1 noon cutoff, so he is not automatically eligible. He was in the organization before the cutoff, so he can be approved as a replacement for an injured eligible player.The post-season eligibility list is fixed at noon ET on September 1: everyone on the 40-man, the 60-day IL or the military list at that moment, who then stays there without interruption. 2022-2026 Basic Agreement, Attachment 25, p. 253 (the number itself is in Major League Rule 40)
- Rule 5 clockOn a 40-man roster (would first be exposed after 2025 otherwise).
Option years, season by season
| Season | Days on option | Option year used | Stints |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13 | no (under 20) | Sep 2, 2026 to now (13d) |
Transaction log
| Sep 2, 2026 | Optioned | Boston Red Sox optioned RHP Jedixson Paez to Worcester Red Sox. |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Contract selected | Boston Red Sox selected the contract of RHP Jedixson Paez from Worcester Red Sox. |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Status change | Boston Red Sox activated RHP Jedixson Paez. |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Returned (Rule 5) | RHP Jedixson Paez returned to Boston Red Sox from Chicago White Sox. |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Designated for assignment | Chicago White Sox designated RHP Jedixson Paez for assignment. |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Rule 5 pick | Chicago White Sox purchased contract of RHP Jedixson Paez in the Rule 5 Draft. |
| Jan 15, 2021 | Signed as free agent | Boston Red Sox signed free agent RHP Jedixson Paez to a minor league contract. |
Service through 2025 per FanGraphs RosterResource; options and this-season service reconstructed from the MLB transaction log (reconstruction; FanGraphs shows 3). Rule 5 exposure deadline Nov 17, 2026.