Jared Simpson

RP · L/L · age 26.2 · WSH

DRAFT-EXCLUDEDOCTOBER: SUB ONLY

Roster status
ACTIVE
Service thru 2025
0+000
Service now / projected
0+014 / 0+027
Option years left (2026)
3
Assignments left this season
5 of 5
Contract (2027)
PRE-ARBITRATION / AUTO-RENEWAL
Acquired
Drafted 8th Rd '23
Outrighted / DFA'd before
0 / 0
Contract
none listed

Next 90 days, by the model

Stays put
62%
Designated
8%
Optioned
26%
Traded
3%
Released or non-tendered
<1%

Pushing the cut risk around: this season's WAR (0.05) raises it, last season's WAR raises it, this season's strikeout rate (0.29) lowers it.

Context the model does not weigh: 0.1 WAR this season; 22 RP on the 40-man.

Trained on every 40-man roster snapshot since 2011 and what happened in the following 90 days; it sees roster status, options, service, history and last season's line, not this season's performance or the club's intentions. How well it does.

Is there a job for him next year?

WSH returns 22 RP on the 40-man once nobody leaves; about 9 RP jobs survive a normal winter. By his own recent record he ranks 10th among the returners (0.2 WAR against a bar of 0.3), which the calibrated model turns into 87% kept through the tender deadline. Ranked by ZiPS and Steamer instead, which credit his longer track record, he is 16th (-0.0 WAR, bar 0.3), worth 83% kept on the same model.

By recent record: returning RPProj. WAR
1. Erik Tolman (wsn)0.9
2. Brad Lord0.7
3. Matt Waldron0.6
4. Mitchell Parker0.6
5. Will Dion0.4
6. Orlando Ribalta0.3
7. Eddy Yean0.3
8. Jake Bird0.3
9. Paxton Schultzlast job0.3
10. Jared Simpson0.2
11. Jack Sinclair0.0
12. PJ Poulin0.0
By ZiPS / Steamer: returning RPProj. WAR
1. Mitchell Parker0.8
2. Brad Lord0.7
3. Will Dion0.6
4. Clayton Beeter0.5
5. Zak Kent0.4
6. Paxton Schultz0.4
7. Jake Bird0.4
8. Matt Waldron0.3
9. Ken Waldichuklast job0.3
10. Luis Perales0.3
11. PJ Poulin0.2
12. Kyle Nicolas0.2

Departing free agents are excluded; players on club, mutual or player options are counted as returning. The kept probability is calibrated on every September since 2012 using the recent-record projection; the ZiPS/Steamer reading uses the same model with a different ranking, so treat it as a second opinion rather than a calibrated number. Salary enters once arbitration projections publish in October.

October: Injury replacement only

Added to the 40-man on Sep 1, after the Sep 1 noon cutoff, so he is not automatically eligible. He was in the organization before the cutoff, so he can be approved as a replacement for an injured eligible player.

The post-season eligibility list is fixed at noon ET on September 1: everyone on the 40-man, the 60-day IL or the military list at that moment, who then stays there without interruption. Attachment 25 (Major League Rule 40)

What happens if the club…

option him to the minorsBLOCKED
Draft-Excluded status blocks any option until 20 days before Opening Day 2027.
Draft-Excluded Player
designate him for assignment (or put him on outright waivers)
The club has 7 days to trade him, pass him through outright waivers, or release him; he is paid at the major-league rate and keeps accruing service in the meantime. On outright waivers any club can claim him for $50,000, worst record first, and the claiming club takes his contract. If he clears, the club can outright him to the minors and he has no say; he stays under club control on a minor-league deal. He would then be Rule 5-eligible and would hold XX-D rights against any future outright.
Designated for assignment: 7 days · Outright waivers · Article XX-D: the right to walk
release him
Release waivers cost a claiming club $1 but the claimant assumes the whole contract, so expensive players clear. The club owes the full unpaid balance of this season's salary, offset by whatever another club pays him this year. A released player is not post-season eligible for any club this year.
Release waivers and termination pay · Which rate a split contract pays at release
trade himBLOCKED
Not now: players on major-league contracts cannot be traded after the Aug 3 deadline until the day after the World Series.
Trade deadline · 10-and-5 rights · June 15 no-trade for free-agent signees
renew him for next year
Pre-arbitration: the club sets his 2027 salary near the minimum ($780,000 floor) and he has no leverage beyond a non-tender.
Minimum salaries · Tender deadline

What the rules say about him

Transaction log

Sep 1, 2026Contract selectedWashington Nationals selected the contract of LHP Jared Simpson from Rochester Red Wings.
Jul 10, 2023SignedWashington Nationals signed LHP Jared Simpson.

Service through 2025 per FanGraphs RosterResource; options and this-season service reconstructed from the MLB transaction log (reconstruction; FanGraphs shows 3). Rule 5 exposure deadline Nov 17, 2026.